We met on 27 January 2026 to review progress across ACT4CAP27 Work Package 3 and to align our next steps in light of ongoing developments in the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). The discussion focused on maintaining policy relevance, ensuring data readiness, and keeping deliveries on schedule.
We agreed that Task 3.4 will move forward without postponement, despite uncertainty around the final CAP design. The policy and scenario database is being built on the current CAP proposal, with all instruments mapped. We will integrate data that are already available and update the database as new information emerges. A functional framework will be delivered by Month 36 (February 2027) and will be usable across models, including AgMEMOD. We concluded that delaying delivery to Month 48 would undermine the usability of results within the project timeframe.
We also reviewed good progress under Task 3.3. Research plans and collaboration arrangements between Wageningen Research and UniRoma3 have been finalised, and updates to the MAGNET multi-regional input–output database, aligned with GTAP version 11, are underway. We have completed the methodology for elasticity estimation at the MRIO level and started developing a new MAGNET baseline that integrates the global value chain module. While some components remain internal to the consortium, we will explore options to make parts of the methodology and selected modules publicly available.
Under Task 3.2, we are scaling dietary intake modelling from Germany to an EU-wide level. We are linking consumption data with intake surveys, introducing differentiation by age, gender, and income groups, and harmonising EFSA datasets. A fast-track sugar tax scenario has already demonstrated differentiated impacts across population groups. The expected outputs include a harmonised EU-wide intake dataset, simulation results, and tailored policy recommendations.
We also took stock of progress under Task 3.1 on agricultural input use data, including fertilisers, pesticides, and antibiotics. Prototype datasets for CAPRI supply models are undergoing technical testing and preparation for integration into the Accelerator platform. The main challenges relate to methodological alignment between activity-based CAPRI data and commodity-based modelling frameworks, which we are addressing. Final datasets will be made publicly available and implemented in the open-access CAPRI model.
Overall, we confirmed a clear and shared approach: deliver harmonised, robust modelling frameworks and datasets on time, so that ACT4CAP27 can provide meaningful and timely evidence to support CAP policy analysis.
Source: SLU, POS
